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SPSS: Neural Network Modeling

Week 5 Assignment (SPSS: Neural Network Modeling)

Business Problem Statement

For this assignment, you will use this”Business Problem Statement” template to organize your problem statement. Complete the table below according to the directions found in your assignment.

After providing complete information below, write out your Business Problem Statement in the last box.

What is the organizational history?“Dignity Health was founded in 1986 and made it their goal to create environments that meet each patient’s physical, mental, and spiritual needs. Dignity also believe the healing philosophy promotes the wellbeing of their staff and the places they serve.

Dignity’s mission is committed to delivering compassionate, high-quality, and affordable health services for all.

Dignity Health is made up of more than 60,000 caregivers and staff who deliver excellent care to diverse communities in 21 states. Today, Dignity Health is one of the largest health systems in the nation with 400 care sites across a 22-state network, including 39 hospitals — 24 of which are Catholic and 15 are other-than-Catholic. Headquartered in San Francisco, Dignity Health is the fifth largest health system in the nation and the largest hospital provider in California.”

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Has this problem been previously encountered?“Yes, this problem has been researched before. The Baux score is one example of a test to assess trends in mortality after burn injuries treated in a regional specialist burns service between 1982 and 2008.” (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22310134)
How long has this problem existed?The research on burn mortality has been around for the last 50 years according to National Center for Biotechnology Information. (www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles.PMC4978094/)
What are the potential factors that are influenced by this problem or factors that the problems influence?Some potential factors that will influence this problem are additional model predictors to add to age and total burn area are inhalation injury, gender, flame injury.
What stakeholders can you interview to ascertain root causes of the problem?Some stakeholders that can be interviewed would be from the analytics manager, marketing managers, first responders and hospital triage staff/caregivers (Nurses & Physicians),EMT, Chief Medical Officer, Chief Medical Informatics Officer, Director of Residency Programs, Director of VP of Quality, Managers, Director of Nursing, Patients, First Responders.
Is the business problem stated in such a way that analytical tools and techniques can be applied to address it?Yes, because we have a thousand data points that we can use to analyze our particular problem.
Can the necessary data for your identified business problem be obtained?Yes.One of our team members can obtain the data from Dignity Health exclusively.
What are specific benefits to the organization if the business problem is solved using analytics?Some benefits would be to createa portable, predictive tool to more accurately and quickly triage burn victims in the field or medical facilities and contracted first responders.
State the business problem. 

Medical Care Providers have been utilizing the Baux Score(1), the sum percent of total body surface area based on the Wallace Rule of Nine(4) and the age in years, to predict mortality in burn victims for decades; but advances in medical care and research have made the Baux Score too pessimistic by about 17 years(3) and doesn’t account for inhalation damage or flame injury.With the use of burn patient data we will determine a best-fit model with a target of 70% model accuracy that will include at least the total burn surface area, age, inhalation injury and flame injury to predict leaving hospital alive.

 

 

Method/Vision:

 

With the use of burn patient datawe will determine a best-fit model with a target of 70% model accuracy that will include at least the total burn surface area, age, inhalation injury and flame injury.

 

Once the best fit model is developed, we can implement a portable tool usingTableau to create a Dashboard to allow medical staff and first responders to quickly triage burn victimsbased on a more accurate model.

 

Keeping in mind: in the Phoenix Valley, severe burn victims are sent to County Hospital (helicopter or ambulance once stable or nearest ER if they can’t stabilize). Circumferential burn area, Fluid loss, temperature control, glucose levels, blood pressure, infection, and blood loss are top concerns for burn victims. (Interview with EMTJared Taillon of MedStar on 2/2/19)

 

Additional References:

  1. Baux score. Wikipedia.org. Retrieved on 2/2/19 from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baux_score#Modified_method
  2. Lee, K. C., Joory, K., &Moiemen, N. S. (2014). History of burns: The past, present and the future. Burns & trauma2(4), 169-80. doi:10.4103/2321-3868.143620. Retrieved on 2/2/19 from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4978094/
  3. Osler, T; Glance, LG; Hosmer, DW (2010). “Simplified estimates of the probability of death after burn injuries: Extending and updating the baux score”. The Journal of Trauma. 68 (3): 690–7. doi:10.1097/TA.0b013e3181c453b3. PMID 20038856. Retrieved on 2/2/19 from: https://insights.ovid.com/crossref?an=00005373-201003000-00034
  4. Wallace Rule of Nines. Wikipedia.org. Retrieved on 2/2/19 from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wallace_rule_of_nines

 

Last Updated on March 8, 2019

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