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The discussion forum this week makes use of the advanced reading in helping to prepare you for week 3. The focus centers itself around using the basic concepts of probability to help in understanding associated risk around business decisions that need to be made.

The Discussion Question is:

Hamilton County judges try thousands of cases per year. In an overwhelming majority of the cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered. However, some cases are appealed, some of the cases are reversed. The Enquirer conducted a study of cases handled by Hamilton County judges over a three- year period. Shown in the below links are the results for 182,908 cases handled (disposed) by 38 judges in Common Pleas Court, Domestic Relations Court, and Municipal Court. Two of the judges (Dinkelacker and Hogan) did not serve in the same court for the entire three-year period.

  • Common Pleas Court
  • Domestic Relations Court
  • Municipal Court

The purpose of the newspaper’s study was to evaluate the performance of the judges. Appeals are often the result of mistakes made by judges, and the newspaper wanted to know which judges were doing a good job and which were making too many mistakes. You are called in to assist in the data analysis. Use your knowledge of probability to help with the ranking of the judges. You also may be able to analyze the likelihood of appeal and reversal for cases handled by different courts.

Prepare a report with your rankings of the judges. Also, include an analysis of the likelihood of appeal and case reversal in the three courts. At a minimum, your report should include the rank of the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and provide a rationale for your choice. Which court shows a better quality performance.

Common Pleas Court
Judge Cases Disposed Appealed Cases Reversed Cases
F. Cartolano 3,037 137 12
T. Crush 3,372 119 10
P. Dinkelacker 1,258 44 8
T. Hogan 1,954 60 7
R. Kraft 3,138 127 7
W. Mathews 2,264 91 18
W. Morrissey 3,032 121 22
N. Nadel 2,959 131 20
A. Ney 3,219 125 14
R. Niehaus 3,353 137 16
T. Nurre 3,000 121 6
J. O’Connor 2,969 129 12
R. Ruehlman 3,205 145 18
J. Sundermann 955 60 10
A. Tracey 3,141 127 13
R. Winkler 3,089 88 6
Total 43,945 1,762 199
Domestic Relations Court
Judge Cases Disposed Appealed Cases Reversed Cases
P. Cunningham 2,729 7 1
P. Dinkelacker 6,001 19 4
D. Gaines 8,799 48 9
R. Panioto 12,970 32 3
Total 30,499 106 17
Municipal Court
Judge Cases Disposed Appealed Cases Reversed Cases
M. Allen 6,149 43 4
N. Allen 7,812 34 6
T. Black 7,954 41 6
D. Davis 7,736 43 5
L. Gaines 5,282 35 13
K. Grady 5,253 6 0
D. Hair 2,532 5 0
D. Helmick 7,900 29 5
T. Hogan 2,308 13 2
J. Kenney 2,798 6 1
J. Luebbers 4,698 25 8
W. Mallory 8,277 38 9
M. Marsh 8,219 34 7
B. Mattingly 2,971 13 1
A. Mestemaker 4,975 28 9
M. Painter 2,239 7 3
J. Rosen 7,790 41 13
M. Schweikert 5,403 33 6
D. Stockdale 5,371 22 4
J. West 2,797 4 2
Total 108,464 500 104

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